A Look At Some Key Races

Now that Obamacare has passed I thought it might be interesting to take a look at some Senate and Governor races to see how well the Dems are doing so lets start out in Pennsylvania and Senator Arlen “I switch parties all the time” Specter (For those that don’t know Arlen Specter started his political career in Philly as a Dem District Attorney, then in 1980 switched to Rep to ride Reagans coatails into the Senate and this past year switched back to Dem because the Repub’s were fed up with his backstabbing them). All numbers are from Rassmussen Reports

Pa Senate: Toomey [R] leading Specter [D] 49% to 40%

Governor: Corbett [R] leading State Auditor Jack Wagner [D], by 13 points, 46% to 33%

Corbett [R] leading former Congressman Joe Hoeffel [D] 49% to 28%

Corbett [R] leading Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato [D] by a 46% to 29% margin.

So in Pa, which is a key battleground state, it doesn’t look good for the Dems.

California Senate: Boxer [D] leading Campbell [R] 43% to 41%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. There is two other Rep nominees within striking distance.

Governor: Brown [D] and Whitman [R] earning 40% of the vote each. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and 14% remain undecided.

Things are tight for Boxer who many last year thought was in a solid position and the Dems can’t seem to capitalize in the dismal performance of Ahnuld to grab the lead in the Governor race.

Wisconsin Senate: Feingold [D] leading real estate entrepreneur Terrence Wall [R] 49% to 40%, however Feingold might have a much tougher opponent to face: matched against Thompson [R], Feingold [D] now trails by a statistically insignificant 47% to 45%.

Governor: Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker [R] leading Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett [D] 48% to 42%.

Former GOP Congressman Mark Neumann [R] now posts a 46% to 42% lead over Barrett.

So depending on if Tommy Thompson runs or not the Dems might get shut out there as well.

Ohio Senate: Portman [R] leading Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher [D] 44% to 39%.

Portman holds a 43% to 37% lead over Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner [D].

Governor: Kasich [R] leading Strickland [D] 49% to 38%.

Ohio is another battleground state that last election got a lot of attention from Acorn.

Oregon Senate: Incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden with a 49% to 35% lead over law professor Jim Huffman, the most prominent Republican reportedly considering running against him. This is a very troubling news for Dems, for two reasons: 1. There is no announced Rep candidate yet and the Dem can’t get 50%. 2. As Rasmussen states “Given Oregon’s political leanings, it’s a tough struggle for any Republican candidate against a popular Democrat like Wyden. Still, an incumbent who polls less than 50% at this stage of the campaign is viewed as potentially vulnerable.”

Governor: Right now its a free for all as there is two top Dem candidates and 4 Rep candidates.

Oregon is a very liberal state and if the Dems are having trouble there it could be a repeat of Mass.

Illinois Senate: Democratic State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias holding a slight 44% to 41% lead over Republican Congressman Mark Kirk

Governor: State Senator Bill Brady [R] leading Quinn [D] 47% to 37%. Quinn is filling in for the ousted Blago.

Those 6 were the only states that had both Senate and Governor races so lets look at some important races such as Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s race:

Nevada Senate: Sue Lowden, ex-chairman of the Nevada Republican Party, with a 51% to 38% lead on Reid.

Businessman Danny Tarkanian [R] posts a similar 50% to 37% lead over the embattled Democratic leader.

Well unless Harry can pull off a miracle like Truman it looks like he is gone.

Delaware Senate: Republican Mike Castle leading Democrat Chris Coons by 21 points, 53% to 32%.

This is Joe Bidens seat and look at those numbers, what surprised many (but shouldn’t have) Joe’s son Beau Biden, the Attorney General, decided not to run for papas seat. The reason that it shouldn’t have been a surprise, is that papa knows the Dems are going down faster than the Titanic.

Florida Senate: Former State House Speaker Marco Rubio [R] leading Meek [D] 48% to 34%.

Governor Charlie Crist, who is battling Rubio for the GOP Senate nomination, posts a 45% to 34% lead over Meek.

Now in case the Dems get their hopes up that Crist might decided to run as an Indy if he loses the primary and that way split the Rep vote and their man can sneak in, think again: Even in a three-way match-up with Crist running as an independent, Meek comes in second with 25% of the vote. Rubio leads with 45% support, while Crist earns 22%.

Florida is another key Battleground state.

You can find more races here:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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